Year-ahead prediction of US landfalling hurricane numbers
نویسنده
چکیده
We present a simple method for the year-ahead prediction of the number of hurricanes making landfall in the US. The method is based on averages of historical annual hurricane numbers, and we perform a backtesting study to find the length of averaging window that would have given the best predictions in the past.
منابع مشابه
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تاریخ انتشار 2008